What to watch in redistricted Florida

Four Democratic-held seats in the state are crucial to Republicans’ quest to keep control of the House.

Welcome to The Data Dive, your subscriber-exclusive newsletter about the most consequential elections of the midterms. Every Tuesday morning, I’ll focus on the numbers, trends and data shaping the biggest stories heading into Election Day. I’ll also dig into the 2026 battlegrounds that will determine control of Congress — one district, one county, one city and maybe even one precinct at a time. Today, I examine Republicans’ prospects in Florida. Let’s dive in.

What I’m watching

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