Chuck Todd: Who's the incumbent in 2024? Harris and Trump each point at the other

How do you hold a change election — when the two candidates are a sitting vice president and the most recent former president?

How do you hold a change election — when the two candidates are a sitting vice president and the most recent former president?

That question may mask itself as a riddle, but who voters decide is “the incumbent” is easily the single most important question if you are trying to figure out who is going to win the 2024 election.

In short, the candidate who loses will likely be the one that a majority of swing voters view as more “incumbent-like” in their minds. And the debate next week will go a long way in establishing that, depending on how well the candidates do at painting the other as part of the current problem.

There’s an obvious reason why both campaigns are furiously trying to paint the other as the incumbent: The electorate is grumpy and has been for just about the entire 21st century.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/chuck-todd-incumbent-2024-harris-trump-point-rcna169423


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