Key House and Senate election races to watch to see which party will control Congress
Four House elections in states where polls close early will provide a glimpse at who will control Congress, with key insights into the Harris-Trump election.
The 2024 election hangs on a knife edge, with polling forecasting one of the closest elections in modern American history.
An early wave of polls will close at 6 p.m. and 7 p.m. on the East Coast, giving viewers a valuable glimpse at whether the national environment is trending red or blue — including which messages in contested areas are winning out, which way the suburbs are leaning and whether Black voters are delivering for Democrats.
The answers will provide Americans an early look into the key races for control of Congress and other downballot contests, along with insights on how Vice President Kamala Harris is faring against former President Donald Trump.
Some of the first polls will close at 6 p.m. ET in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. The only potential competitive congressional race to watch in those states is Indiana’s 1st District, where Democrat Rep. Frank Mrvan is running for re-election. Neither party’s outside groups have engaged in the race, but if GOP underdog Randy Niemeyer pulls off an upset, it could foreshadow a red wave.
Both parties believe a wave is unlikely, so other districts will provide better clues about which way the winds are blowing in competitive races for Congress and the marquee presidential contest between Harris and Trump.
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