What the polls show 11 days after the Biden-Trump debate

President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump — albeit within the margin of error — in many national and battleground polls before Biden’s debate debacle.

President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump — albeit within the margin of error — in many national and battleground polls before Biden’s debate debacle.

Now Biden is trailing by 1 to 2 points more in some surveys, but the movement is still within the margin of error, and few of the results reflect a radically altered race — though in our polarized and tightly divided politics, the campaign could very well hinge on such margins.

That’s the polling takeaway 11 days after Biden’s disastrous debate performance as a handful of Democrats have called for him to exit the race and a defiant Biden insists he’s remaining in the campaign. “I’m not going anywhere,” he said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” 

And that minimal change in the polling mirrors what surveys found after Trump’s criminal conviction in late May — slight movement of the sort that could matter a lot in a close presidential campaign but nothing suggesting a fundamentally changed race compared to what came before.  

Take the national polls. Before the debate, Trump was ahead of Biden by 1 point among likely voters in the CBS News/YouGov poll. Now his lead is 2 points — within the margin of error. 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/polls-show-11-days-biden-trump-debate-rcna160757

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