How RFK Jr.'s exit would help Trump, according to the polls

Polls show that a Kennedy withdrawal would probably help Trump more than it hurts him. But if it does, it’s at the margins — though small margins have decided recent elections.

The assassination attempt on Donald Trump, President Joe Biden’s departure from the race, Vice President Kamala Harris’ jump to the top of her ticket, two vice-presidential picks and two conventions have all shaken up the election in the last six weeks. Now, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s possible exit could be the next big event.

His own running mate is talking about weighing whether to drop out, and now his campaign is preparing a big speech on Friday.

Polls show that a Kennedy withdrawal would probably help Trump more than it hurts him. But if it does, it’s at the margins — though small margins have ended up deciding recent presidential elections.

Here’s what the polling tells us:

That’s clear from the national NBC News poll. In January, Kennedy held net-positive ratings from Republicans (+18) and independents (+4), while Democrats viewed him mostly negatively (-25).

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rfk-jrs-exit-help-trump-according-polls-rcna167539

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