Chuck Todd: Which party cracks up first in 2025?

If there is one certainty in politics these days, it’s that the status quo rarely holds. And when one party has the White House, the House and the Senate, history tells us that new status quo has a shelf life of closer to two years than four.

If there is one certainty in politics these days, it’s that the status quo rarely holds.

And history tells us that when one party has control of the so-called trifecta of governing power — the White House, the House and the Senate — the new status quo has a shelf life of closer to two years than four. The GOP already feels time pressure to make use of its majorities under President-elect Donald Trump, while Democrats face the pressure of how to rebound from their loss. A big question animating 2025 will be which is greater: the pressure of losing or the pressure of governing?

The periods of one-party control of the trifecta since President Ronald Reagan’s election in 1980 tell us as much. Just before Reagan, Jimmy Carter had the trifecta for four years — but saw his party fragment by year three. It’s the last time the Democrats had an uninterrupted four-year hold on both houses of Congress and the White House. Reagan and George H.W. Bush never got a trifecta during their presidencies, though Reagan’s party did have the Senate for six of his eight years. Bill Clinton and the Democrats got it for all of two years (his first two).  

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/chuck-todd-party-cracks-first-2025-rcna186652

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